Prediction Market · Off chain

Call the market
Back your read

Reya Bet is a points based prediction market for the Reya ecosystem, put RXP on crypto price moves and World Cup 2026 outcomes, share one pool, and let the crowd set the odds.

1,000 RXP starting stackpari mutuel pools5 rank tiers0 real money
Overview

A prediction market that runs on points, not risk

Reya Bet is the off chain prediction market of the Reya ecosystem, it's a standalone product, its own domain, its own accounts, built around one simple loop: read a question about the future, stake RXP on the outcome you believe, and get paid from the shared pool if you called it right

Every new account starts with 1,000 RXP, there is no real money anywhere in the system, RXP is a reputation currency, what you're really playing for is your position on the leaderboard, your rank tier, and the badges that prove you saw it coming

The one idea

You're not betting against the house, you're betting against everyone else in the pool, and the odds move as they pile in, Reya Bet only takes a small fee to keep the points economy balanced

Markets

Two worlds to predict

Markets fall into two headline categories, each settled by its own automated oracle so results are objective and tamperproof

Crypto

Price, up or down

“Will BTC be above $X in 24h?” style markets, resolved against live prices from the Reya on chain oracle (api.reya.xyz), fast cycles, sharp reads

World Cup 2026

Football outcomes

Match winners and tournament questions across World Cup 2026, auto imported from open football data and settled the moment the final whistle blows

Under the hood the engine also supports head to head, club football and Formula 1 markets, the same pool mechanics apply to every category

Mechanics

How a pool pays out

Reya Bet uses a pari mutuel model, the same math horse racing tote boards have used for a century, everyone's stakes go into one pot, when the market resolves, the losing side's money is split among the winners in proportion to how much each staked

The house takes a flat 3% fee off the top of every pool, that fee is the only sink that keeps RXP from inflating forever, the rest is paid straight back to the people who were right

3%
House fee
Live
Odds while open
100%
Refund if no winner

The odds are a live estimate

While a market is open, the multiple you see is derived straight from the current pools:

Formula

odds = total pool × (1 − 0.03) ÷ your side's pool

Because it's an estimate off the current pot, your final payout can drift as more people bet after you, the empty side has no price yet, the first bettor there sets it

Worked example, “Will BTC hold above $63,233?”
Total pool1,000 RXP
YES pool (your side)400 RXP
NO pool600 RXP
Prize pool after 3% fee970 RXP
Your stake on YES100 RXP → 25% of the winning side
Payout if YES wins242 RXP · 2.42× · +142%

If nobody picks the winning side, the market can't pay out, so everyone is simply refunded their original stake, fee waived

Economy

The RXP economy

RXP flows in through a handful of predictable faucets and out through the house fee, you never top up with money, you earn your way to a bigger stack

1,000
Signup grant
+50
Daily free claim
+200
Per referral · both sides
+5
Per agent chat · 5/day

The daily claim resets every UTC day, chatting with your AI agent pays 5 RXP a message for your first five messages each day, a small nudge to actually think out loud before you stake, not a grind

Cash out

Backing out before the whistle

Changed your mind while a market is still open? You can cash a position out early, the return is deliberately simple and ungameable: your original stake minus a 5% spread

Early cash out on a 100 RXP position
Original stake100 RXP
House spread (5%)−5 RXP
You receive95 RXP
Why flat, not odds-based

In a pari mutuel pool, the fair value of any open position stays constant no matter how the odds swing, a rising potential payout is exactly cancelled by a falling chance of winning, so cash out can't track the live multiple without becoming exploitable, a fixed spread keeps it honest

Progression

Ranks & seasons

Your tier is computed live from your total points, no separate grind, no claiming, cross a threshold and the badge on your share cards and profile upgrades automatically

Diamond
12,000 RXP+
Platinum
6,000 RXP+
Gold
3,000 RXP+
Silver
1,500 RXP+
Bronze
0 RXP

Seasons run the leaderboard on top of this, winning bets add season points to the active season, so the standings reset and reward whoever's hot right now, not whoever joined first

Rewards

Quests & badges

Daily quests give you a reason to spread your bets across markets, they refresh every UTC day and pay out on top of anything you win

Place your first bet today
Any market · goal 1
+30 RXP
Bet on 2 crypto markets
Crypto · goal 2
+50 RXP
Bet on a World Cup market
Football · goal 1
+40 RXP
Place 3 bets in total
Any market · goal 3
+70 RXP

Badges are permanent

Badges are earned once and kept forever, proof of milestones, not daily chores

First Blood1st winSharp10 winsCenturion100 betsHigh Roller5,000 stakedDiamond Hands12,000 RXP
The Agent

An AI agent tuned to you

Every account gets a personal AI agent you can talk markets with, during onboarding it learns three things about how you play, and shapes every reply around them:

  • Risk appetite, cautious, balanced, or degen, it pushes low variance plays or matches your chase, but never hides the downside
  • Experience, rookie, familiar, or sharp, it explains mechanics or skips straight to the alpha
  • Tone, brutal, supportive, or dry analyst, it calls bad picks out cold, backs you up, or just lets the numbers talk

Talking to it earns a little RXP too, five points a message, first five messages a day, so thinking a bet through is gently rewarded

Growth

Referrals & sharing

Every account has a six character referral code, when a friend signs up through it, both of you get 200 RXP, no cap on how many friends you bring

When a position resolves, Reya Bet renders a share card for it, the big payout multiple, the market, your rank badge, ready to drop on X, every shared link carries your referral code, so a good call doubles as an invite, share links always point to reyabet.xyz

FAQ

Questions, answered

Is any of this real money?

No, RXP is a points-only currency with no cash value and no top ups, you play for rank, leaderboard position, and bragging rights

Why did my payout differ from the odds I saw?

Odds are a live estimate off the current pools, if more people bet your side after you, your slice of the winning pool shrinks slightly, the number is honest at the moment you see it, it just isn't locked

What happens if everyone bets the wrong side?

If no one picked the winning outcome, there's nothing to redistribute, so every stake is refunded in full and the fee is waived

Can I lose points I didn't stake?

Never, the most a position can cost you is the RXP you put in, everything else in your balance is untouched

How do I climb the ranks?

Win bets, your tier is computed directly from your total points, so there's nothing to claim, cross 1,500 / 3,000 / 6,000 / 12,000 RXP and Silver → Gold → Platinum → Diamond unlock on their own